Where and when is FC Lok Stendal vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?

FC Lok Stendal vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Hölzchen, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Lok Stendal vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Hölzchen, Stendal

FC Lok Stendal

Sparta Lichtenberg

The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for FC Lok Stendal. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Lok Stendal vs Sparta Lichtenberg?

Sparta Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,571).

FC Lok Stendal win33 %

Draw22 %

Sparta Lichtenberg win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lok Stendal have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Lok Stendal
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Anker Wismar(home)	2-3	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 7, 2026	Tennis Borussia(away)	2-2	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Neuruppin(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026	Krieschow(home)	2-0	Oberliga - Nordost-Süd

Sparta Lichtenberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Mecklenburg Schwerin(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 9, 2026	Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 2, 2026	Krieschow(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026	Siedenbollentin(away)	3-4	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 17, 2026	Neustrelitz(home)	4-2	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

How many goals should we expect?

FC Lok Stendal score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Lok Stendal	1.3	1.7	5	6/15	8/15
Sparta Lichtenberg	2.3	2.1	0	14/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Lok Stendal sit 12th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (1 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Sparta Lichtenberg	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
12	FC Lok Stendal	2	0	1	1	4	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Lok Stendal vs Sparta Lichtenberg?: The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for FC Lok Stendal.
Where and when is FC Lok Stendal vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?: FC Lok Stendal vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Hölzchen, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.