Neustrelitz vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 20Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Parkstadion, Neustrelitz
The Footlab model makes Neustrelitz the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Neustrelitz vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Neustrelitz (1,816) and Sparta Lichtenberg (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Neustrelitz have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lichtenberg(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | BAK '07(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Neustrelitz win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg 4-2 Neustrelitz | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Neustrelitz 6-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 11, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 6-4 Neustrelitz | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Neustrelitz 3-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Sparta Lichtenberg 6-1 Neustrelitz | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Neustrelitz 2-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Neustrelitz on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Neustrelitz score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neustrelitz | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Neustrelitz sit 7th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (3 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Neustrelitz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Neustrelitz vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Neustrelitz the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
- Where and when is Neustrelitz vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
- Neustrelitz vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Parkstadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.