Match

Sparta Lichtenberg vs Neustrelitz: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 5Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, Berlin

Sparta LichtenbergNeustrelitz

The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Neustrelitz. The most likely score is 2-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sparta Lichtenberg vs Neustrelitz?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Sparta Lichtenberg (1,739) and Neustrelitz (1,818).

Sparta Lichtenberg win44 %
Draw21 %
Neustrelitz win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Lichtenberg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Neustrelitz have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sparta Lichtenberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Mecklenburg Schwerin(home)1-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 9, 2026Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away)1-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 2, 2026Krieschow(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026Siedenbollentin(away)3-4Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 17, 2026Neustrelitz(home)4-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Neustrelitz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Siedenbollentin(home)3-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026Lichtenberg(away)2-3Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 2, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Greifswalder FC(away)3-5Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026BAK '07(home)2-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Neustrelitz win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Sparta Lichtenberg 4-2 NeustrelitzOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Nov 22, 2025Neustrelitz 6-1 Sparta LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 11, 2025Sparta Lichtenberg 6-4 NeustrelitzOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Nov 10, 2024Neustrelitz 3-1 Sparta LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Apr 14, 2024Sparta Lichtenberg 6-1 NeustrelitzOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Oct 1, 2023Neustrelitz 2-1 Sparta LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord

Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Neustrelitz on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Neustrelitz score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sparta Lichtenberg2.32.1014/1512/15
Neustrelitz2.11.7510/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (2 points from 2 matches) and Neustrelitz sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Neustrelitz2101553
10Sparta Lichtenberg2020222

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sparta Lichtenberg vs Neustrelitz?
The Footlab model makes Sparta Lichtenberg the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 35% for Neustrelitz.
Where and when is Sparta Lichtenberg vs Neustrelitz played?
Sparta Lichtenberg vs Neustrelitz is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sparta Lichtenberg and Neustrelitz

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