New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising: result 2-1 and analysis
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 4, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park, Albuquerque, New Mexico
Full time
What was the result of New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
New Mexico United won 2-1 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′G. HurstNew Mexico United
- 72′K. ArasePhoenix Rising
- 81′Cullen WilkersonNew Mexico United
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a New Mexico United win at 42%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
New Mexico United
4-2-3-1- 10G. Hurst
- 31J. Quiah
- 21V. Noël
- 14C. Dennis
- 28Cullen Wilkerson
- 15O. Jabang
- 3C. Gloster
- 24T. Blackett
- 4K. Keller
- 27Maliek Howell
- 13Kristopher Shakes
Phoenix Rising
5-4-1- 7I. Sacko
- 70J. Torres
- 28K. Arase
- 19D. Rivera
- 17J. Scearce
- 87Daniel Flores
- 8D. Gómez
- 4P. Mar Boye
- 51A. Essengue
- 13J. Moursou
- 1P. Rakovsky
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New Mexico United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Phoenix Rising have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | FC Tulsa(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sacramento Republic(home) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Colorado Springs(away) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Birmingham Legion(away) | 4-4 | USL Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Indy Eleven(home) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oakland Roots(away) | 0-3 | USL Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | El Paso Locomotive(home) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Tulsa(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Monterey Bay(away) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Indy Eleven(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 New Mexico United wins, 1 draw, 2 Phoenix Rising wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | New Mexico United 4-0 Phoenix Rising | USL League One Cup |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Phoenix Rising 3-0 New Mexico United | USL Championship |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Phoenix Rising 0-1 New Mexico United | USL Championship |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Phoenix Rising 3-3 New Mexico United | USL League One Cup |
| May 11, 2025 | New Mexico United 1-2 Phoenix Rising | USL Championship |
| Nov 4, 2024 | New Mexico United 2-1 Phoenix Rising | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
New Mexico United score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Phoenix Rising score 1.4 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico United | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Phoenix Rising | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
New Mexico United sit 1st in USL Championship (52 points from 30 matches) and Phoenix Rising sit 8th (40 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 52 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 46 | 40 |
A question about New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2026Lexington1-2Louisville City
- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots