New Zealand U17 vs Belgium U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 3Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)North Harbour Stadium, North Shore
The Footlab model makes Belgium U17 the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for New Zealand U17. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win New Zealand U17 vs Belgium U17?
Belgium U17 starts as the favourite with a 271-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,393).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, New Zealand U17 have 1 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Belgium U17 have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | Austria U17(home) | 1-4 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Saudi Arabia U17(away) | 2-3 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Mali U17(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Mexico W U17(home) | 0-4 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 15, 2023 | Germany U17(home) | 1-3 | World Cup - U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Italy U17(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Jun 4, 2026 | France U17(home) | 2-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 31, 2026 | Estonia U17(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 28, 2026 | Spain U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 25, 2026 | Croatia U17(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
New Zealand U17 score 0.7 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 12; Belgium U17 score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand U17 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 1 | 6/12 | 11/12 |
| Belgium U17 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for New Zealand U17 vs Belgium U17?
- The Footlab model makes Belgium U17 the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for New Zealand U17.
- Where and when is New Zealand U17 vs Belgium U17 played?
- New Zealand U17 vs Belgium U17 is played on November 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at North Harbour Stadium, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.