New Zealand U17 W vs Germany U17 W: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld Cup Women U17 - 3Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes New Zealand U17 W the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Germany U17 W. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win New Zealand U17 W vs Germany U17 W?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate New Zealand U17 W (1,426) and Germany U17 W (1,399).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, New Zealand U17 W have 0 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Germany U17 W have 6, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Zambia U17 W(home) | 0-4 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Paraguay U17 W(away) | 1-4 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Japan U17 W(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Ecuador U17 W(away) | 0-4 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Dominican Republic W U17(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | France U17 W(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 14, 2026 | Spain U17 W(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 10, 2026 | Northern Ireland U17 W(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 7, 2026 | England U17 W(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
| May 4, 2026 | Norway U17 W(away) | 3-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Women |
How many goals should we expect?
New Zealand U17 W score 0.5 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 6; Germany U17 W score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand U17 W | 0.5 | 3.3 | 0 | 3/6 | 5/6 |
| Germany U17 W | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/12 | 5/12 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for New Zealand U17 W vs Germany U17 W?
- The Footlab model makes New Zealand U17 W the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Germany U17 W.
- Where and when is New Zealand U17 W vs Germany U17 W played?
- New Zealand U17 W vs Germany U17 W is played on October 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the World Cup - U17 - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.