Venezuela U17 W vs Japan U17 W: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld Cup Women U17 - 3Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Venezuela U17 W the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Japan U17 W. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Venezuela U17 W vs Japan U17 W?
Japan U17 W starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,638 vs 1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Venezuela U17 W have 1 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Japan U17 W have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | Paraguay U17 W(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL - U17 Femenino |
| May 5, 2025 | Argentina U17 W(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL - U17 Femenino |
| May 3, 2025 | Colombia U17 W(home) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL - U17 Femenino |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Chile U17 W(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL - U17 Femenino |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Argentina U17 W(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL - U17 Femenino |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | North Korea U17 W(away) | 1-5 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 14, 2026 | Australia U17 W(home) | 4-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 11, 2026 | South Korea U17 W(home) | 1-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 8, 2026 | Australia U17 W(home) | 5-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 5, 2026 | India U17 W(away) | 3-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Venezuela U17 W score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 8; Japan U17 W score 3.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela U17 W | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 2/8 | 3/8 |
| Japan U17 W | 3.1 | 1.0 | 9 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Venezuela U17 W vs Japan U17 W?
- The Footlab model makes Venezuela U17 W the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Japan U17 W.
- Where and when is Venezuela U17 W vs Japan U17 W played?
- Venezuela U17 W vs Japan U17 W is played on October 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the World Cup - U17 - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.