Newcastle Town vs Spalding United: result 5-4 and analysis
FA TrophyPreliminary RoundKick-off on October 3, 2015 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Red Industries Lyme Valley Stadium, Newcastle-under-Lyme, Staffordshire
Full time
What was the result of Newcastle Town vs Spalding United?
Newcastle Town won 5-4 on October 3, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Spalding United have 9, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2015 | Coleshill Town(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Coleshill Town(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Continental Star(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Chasetown(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Sutton Coldfield Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2015 | Coalville Town(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Nantwich Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Radford(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 4, 2014 | Leek Town(home) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Leek Town(away) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spalding United score 2.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Spalding United | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/14 | 11/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy