Match

Newcastle United U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on December 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)

Newcastle United U21AFC Bournemouth U21

The Footlab model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Newcastle United U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Newcastle United U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,716).

Newcastle United U21 win32 %
Draw22 %
AFC Bournemouth U21 win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle United U21 have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; AFC Bournemouth U21 have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Newcastle United U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Tamworth(away)3-5National League Cup
Apr 27, 2026Swansea City U21(away)0-2Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026Wolves U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026Manchester United U21(away)3-1Premier League 2 Division One
AFC Bournemouth U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chelsea U21(home)2-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 14, 2026Cardiff City U21(away)1-4Premier League Cup
Jul 10, 2026Worthing(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
May 4, 2026Huddersfield Town U21(away)1-4Professional Development League
Apr 24, 2026Wolves U21(home)1-0Professional Development League

How many goals should we expect?

Newcastle United U21 score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Bournemouth U21 score 2.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Newcastle United U211.52.028/159/15
AFC Bournemouth U212.32.2311/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Newcastle United U21 sit 27th in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and AFC Bournemouth U21 sit 10th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10AFC Bournemouth U211100213
27Newcastle United U211001130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Newcastle United U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?
The Footlab model makes AFC Bournemouth U21 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Newcastle United U21.
Where and when is Newcastle United U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 played?
Newcastle United U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 is played on December 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Newcastle United U21 and AFC Bournemouth U21

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