Where and when is Newcastle United U21 vs Sunderland U21 played?

Newcastle United U21 vs Sunderland U21 is played on October 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Newcastle United U21 vs Sunderland U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on October 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)

Newcastle United U21

Sunderland U21

The Footlab model makes Sunderland U21 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Newcastle United U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Newcastle United U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Sunderland U21 starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,744).

Newcastle United U21 win32 %

Draw22 %

Sunderland U21 win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle United U21 have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sunderland U21 have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Newcastle United U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Tamworth(away)	3-5	National League Cup
Apr 27, 2026	Swansea City U21(away)	0-2	Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026	Wolves U21(home)	1-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026	Manchester United U21(away)	3-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 20, 2026	Nottingham Forest U21(away)	0-3	Premier League 2 Division One

Sunderland U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Jong PSV U21(home)	1-1	Premier League International Cup
May 14, 2026	Burnley U21(home)	1-2	Premier League Cup
Apr 26, 2026	Manchester United U21(away)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 15, 2026	Blackburn Rovers U21(home)	4-2	Premier League Cup
Apr 6, 2026	Derby County U21(away)	1-2	Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Newcastle United U21 win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sunderland U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 16, 2026	Sunderland U21 1-1 Newcastle United U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 19, 2024	Newcastle United U21 1-1 Sunderland U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 18, 2024	Sunderland U21 2-3 Newcastle United U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Jan 30, 2023	Sunderland U21 2-1 Newcastle United U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 31, 2022	Newcastle United U21 1-1 Sunderland U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Sunderland U21 vs Newcastle United U21 on Jan 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Newcastle United U21 score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland U21 score 2.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Newcastle United U21	1.4	2.0	2	7/15	9/15
Sunderland U21	2.4	1.6	2	12/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Newcastle United U21 sit 21st in Premier League 2 Division One (24 points from 20 matches) and Sunderland U21 sit 15th (28 points from 20 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Sunderland U21	20	8	4	8	41	40	28
21	Newcastle United U21	20	6	6	8	30	35	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Newcastle United U21 vs Sunderland U21?: The Footlab model makes Sunderland U21 the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Newcastle United U21.
Where and when is Newcastle United U21 vs Sunderland U21 played?: Newcastle United U21 vs Sunderland U21 is played on October 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.