Newcastle vs Borussia Dortmund: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup F - 3Kick-off on October 25, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Full time
What was the result of Newcastle vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund won 0-1 on October 25, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 45′F. NmechaBorussia Dortmund
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Crystal Palace(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | West Ham(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Burnley(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Manchester City(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2023 | Werder Bremen(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Union Berlin(home) | 4-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 4, 2023 | AC Milan(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 29, 2023 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 3-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 2.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle sit 12th in UEFA Champions League (14 points from 8 matches) and Borussia Dortmund sit 17th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 14 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy