Fulham vs Newcastle: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Craven Cottage, London
The Footlab AI model makes Fulham the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Newcastle. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fulham wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Fulham (2,193) and Newcastle (2,240).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fulham vs Newcastle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fulham
4-2-3-1- 7Gonzalo García
- 14Oscar Bobb
- 17A. Iwobi
- 24Joshua King
- 19S. Charles
- 16S. Berge
- 21T. Castagne
- 33A. Robinson
- 3C. Bassey
- 22D. Affengruber
- 1B. Leno
Newcastle
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Wissa
- 11H. Barnes
- 67L. Miley
- 23J. Murphy
- 28J. Willock
- 20M. Fernandez-Pardo
- 4S. Botman
- 3L. Hall
- 12M. Thiaw
- 37A. Dedić
- 21L. Horníček
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fulham have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Newcastle have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fulham wins, 0 draws, 3 Newcastle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Fulham 2-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Newcastle 2-1 Fulham | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Newcastle 2-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Newcastle 1-2 Fulham | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Fulham 3-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Fulham 0-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fulham score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Newcastle | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fulham sit 19th in Premier League (2 points from 5 matches) and Newcastle sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
A question about Fulham vs Newcastle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fulham vs Newcastle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fulham the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Newcastle.
- Where and when is Fulham vs Newcastle played?
- Fulham vs Newcastle is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Craven Cottage, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.