Newcastle vs Brighton: result 4-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on May 18, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Full time
What was the result of Newcastle vs Brighton?
Newcastle won 4-1 on May 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 22′D. UndavNewcastle (o.g.)
- 45′D. BurnNewcastle
- 51′D. UndavBrighton
- 89′C. WilsonNewcastle
- 90′Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Brighton have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2023 | Leeds(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 7, 2023 | Arsenal(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Southampton(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2023 | Everton(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Tottenham(home) | 6-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2023 | Arsenal(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 8, 2023 | Everton(home) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| May 4, 2023 | Manchester United(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Wolves(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2023 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Newcastle win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Brighton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2022 | Brighton 0-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Newcastle 2-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Brighton 1-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Brighton 3-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Newcastle 0-3 Brighton | Premier League |
| Jul 20, 2020 | Brighton 0-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Brighton vs Newcastle on Aug 13, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 2.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Brighton | 2.2 | 1.1 | 9 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle sit 10th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Brighton sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy