Newcastle vs Luton: result 3-1 and analysis
FA Cup3rd RoundKick-off on January 6, 2018 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Full time
What was the result of Newcastle vs Luton?
Newcastle won 3-1 on January 6, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 30′Ayoze PérezNewcastle
- 36′Ayoze PérezNewcastle
- 39′J. ShelveyNewcastle
- 49′D. HyltonLuton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Luton have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2018 | Stoke City(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2017 | Brighton(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2017 | Manchester City(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2017 | West Ham(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Arsenal(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2018 | Lincoln(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Dec 30, 2017 | Port Vale(away) | 0-4 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2017 | Swindon Town(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Dec 23, 2017 | Grimsby(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Forest Green(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 2.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Luton | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy