Newcastle vs Manchester United: result 2-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 4, 2026 at 08:15 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Full time
What was the result of Newcastle vs Manchester United?
Newcastle won 2-1 on March 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′A. GordonNewcastle (pen.)
- 45′CasemiroManchester United
- 90′W. OsulaNewcastle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Manchester United have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Qarabag(away) | 6-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Everton(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Newcastle win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Manchester United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Manchester United 1-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Newcastle 4-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Manchester United 0-2 Newcastle | Premier League |
| May 15, 2024 | Manchester United 3-2 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Newcastle 1-0 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Manchester United 0-3 Newcastle | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Manchester United vs Newcastle on Dec 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Manchester United | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle sit 12th in Premier League (49 points from 38 matches) and Manchester United sit 3rd (71 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 71 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | 49 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy