Newington Youth vs Armagh City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Inver Park, Larne
The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Armagh City. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newington Youth vs Armagh City?
Newington Youth is a heavy favourite: 1,472 Elo points against 1,074, a 398-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newington Youth have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Armagh City have 0, 6 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Institute(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Newington Youth win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Armagh City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Armagh City 1-2 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Newington Youth 5-1 Armagh City | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Armagh City 2-4 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Armagh City 3-3 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Newington Youth 2-3 Armagh City | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Newington Youth 0-0 Armagh City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Armagh City vs Newington Youth on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newington Youth score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Armagh City score 0.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newington Youth | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Armagh City | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newington Youth sit 1st in Championship (10 points from 4 matches) and Armagh City sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newington Youth | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 77 | 62 | 60 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 51 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 100 | 17 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 30 | 112 | 19 |
| 15 | Armagh City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newington Youth vs Armagh City?
- The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 90%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Armagh City.
- Where and when is Newington Youth vs Armagh City played?
- Newington Youth vs Armagh City is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Inver Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.