Ards vs Ballinamallard United: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bangor Fuels Arena, Bangor
The Footlab AI model makes Ards the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Ballinamallard United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ards wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ards vs Ballinamallard United?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Ards (1,365) and Ballinamallard United (1,317).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ards vs Ballinamallard United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ards
Not enough data to predict the Ards lineup.
Ballinamallard United
Not enough data to predict the Ballinamallard United lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ards have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ballinamallard United have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Institute(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Queen's University(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ards wins, 2 draws, 1 Ballinamallard United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ballinamallard United 1-1 Ards | Championship |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ballinamallard United 0-2 Ards | Championship |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Ards 2-1 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 1-0 Ards | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ards 3-1 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 2-2 Ards | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ballinamallard United vs Ards on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ards score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ballinamallard United score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ards | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Ballinamallard United | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ards sit 8th in Championship (52 points from 38 matches) and Ballinamallard United sit 10th (38 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 52 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 60 | 38 |
A question about Ards vs Ballinamallard United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ards vs Ballinamallard United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ards the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Ballinamallard United.
- Where and when is Ards vs Ballinamallard United played?
- Ards vs Ballinamallard United is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bangor Fuels Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.