Newington Youth vs Glenavon FC: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Inver Park, Larne
The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Glenavon FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newington Youth vs Glenavon FC?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Newington Youth (1,472) and Glenavon FC (1,416).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newington Youth have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Glenavon FC have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Newington Youth win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Glenavon FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Glenavon FC 4-2 Newington Youth | Irish Cup |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Newington Youth 2-3 Glenavon FC | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Glenavon FC vs Newington Youth on Jan 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newington Youth score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Glenavon FC score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newington Youth | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Glenavon FC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newington Youth sit 1st in Championship (10 points from 4 matches) and Glenavon FC sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newington Youth | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Glenavon FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 77 | 62 | 60 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newington Youth vs Glenavon FC?
- The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Glenavon FC.
- Where and when is Newington Youth vs Glenavon FC played?
- Newington Youth vs Glenavon FC is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Inver Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.