Queen's University vs Rathfriland: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Queen's University Malone Playing Fields, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Queen's University the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Rathfriland. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Queen's University vs Rathfriland?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Queen's University (1,378) and Rathfriland (1,306).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Queen's University have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Rathfriland have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Institute(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ballyclare Comrades(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Loughgall(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| May 1, 2026 | Knockbreda(away) | 4-0 | Premier Intermediate League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Queen's University win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Rathfriland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Queen's University 1-0 Rathfriland | Premier Intermediate League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Rathfriland 1-2 Queen's University | Premier Intermediate League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Queen's University 1-4 Rathfriland | Premier Intermediate League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Rathfriland 1-5 Queen's University | Premier Intermediate League |
Last archived meeting: Queen's University vs Rathfriland on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Queen's University score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rathfriland score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen's University | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Rathfriland | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Queen's University sit 6th in Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Rathfriland sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 57 |
| 6 | Queen's University | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Queen's University | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 47 |
| 16 | Rathfriland | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Queen's University vs Rathfriland?
- The Footlab model makes Queen's University the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Rathfriland.
- Where and when is Queen's University vs Rathfriland played?
- Queen's University vs Rathfriland is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Queen's University Malone Playing Fields, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.