Newport County vs Swindon Town: result 0-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
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What was the result of Newport County vs Swindon Town?
Swindon Town won 0-1 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′O. PalmerSwindon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Swindon Town have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Arsenal U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Gillingham(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Bromley(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Salford City(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Harrogate Town(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Barrow(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Reading(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newport County win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Swindon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025 | Newport County 1-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Swindon Town 4-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Newport County 2-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Swindon Town 2-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Newport County 2-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2022 | Swindon Town 1-0 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Newport County vs Swindon Town on Jan 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Swindon Town | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport County sit 11th in League Two (3 points from 2 matches) and Swindon Town sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Swindon Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Newport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy