Newton Stewart vs Largs Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blairmount Park, Newton Stewart
The Footlab model makes Largs Thistle the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Newton Stewart. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newton Stewart vs Largs Thistle?
Largs Thistle starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,637 vs 1,470).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Newton Stewart have 1 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Largs Thistle have 4, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(home) | 0-9 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kilwinning Rangers(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newton Stewart score 0.8 and concede 3.6 goals per match over their last 13; Largs Thistle score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newton Stewart | 0.8 | 3.6 | 1 | 7/13 | 12/13 |
| Largs Thistle | 1.5 | 0.5 | 4 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newton Stewart sit 32nd in Football League - Lowland League (1 points from 4 matches) and Largs Thistle sit 8th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Largs Thistle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 32 | Newton Stewart | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newton Stewart vs Largs Thistle?
- The Footlab model makes Largs Thistle the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Newton Stewart.
- Where and when is Newton Stewart vs Largs Thistle played?
- Newton Stewart vs Largs Thistle is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blairmount Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers