Newton Stewart vs Troon FC: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Blairmount Park, Newton Stewart
The Footlab model makes Troon FC the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Newton Stewart. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newton Stewart vs Troon FC?
Troon FC starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,608 vs 1,473).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Newton Stewart have 1 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Troon FC have 3, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(home) | 0-9 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gretna 2008(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Glasgow University(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beith(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gretna 2008(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newton Stewart score 0.8 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 12; Troon FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newton Stewart | 0.8 | 3.7 | 1 | 6/12 | 11/12 |
| Troon FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newton Stewart sit 32nd in Football League - Lowland League (1 points from 4 matches) and Troon FC sit 13th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Troon FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 32 | Newton Stewart | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newton Stewart vs Troon FC?
- The Footlab model makes Troon FC the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Newton Stewart.
- Where and when is Newton Stewart vs Troon FC played?
- Newton Stewart vs Troon FC is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Blairmount Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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