Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
The Footlab model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Buckley Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town?
Newtown AFC starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,651 vs 1,474).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newtown AFC have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Buckley Town have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Newtown AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Buckley Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Newtown AFC 0-2 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Buckley Town 3-0 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Buckley Town 2-3 Newtown AFC | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newtown AFC score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Buckley Town score 0.8 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Buckley Town | 0.8 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newtown AFC sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 3 matches) and Buckley Town sit 14th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Newtown AFC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Buckley Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town?
- The Footlab model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Buckley Town.
- Where and when is Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town played?
- Newtown AFC vs Buckley Town is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at G.F. Grigg Latham Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.