Guilsfield vs Porthmadog: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Guilsfield Community Centre Ground, Guilsfield / Cegidfa, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Guilsfield the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Porthmadog. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guilsfield wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,047 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guilsfield vs Porthmadog?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Guilsfield (1,670) and Porthmadog (1,590).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guilsfield vs Porthmadog
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guilsfield
Not enough data to predict the Guilsfield lineup.
Porthmadog
4-3-3- CCai Llywelyn Jones
- SS. Cavanagh
- II. Price
- DDaniel Paul Brookwell
- CC. Evans
- GGruffydd Ellis
- JJosh Banks
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- NNathan Williams
- II. Havelock
- AA. Ward-Jones
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 07:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guilsfield have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Porthmadog have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Coedpoeth United(away) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ruthin Town(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Guilsfield wins, 0 draws, 0 Porthmadog wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | Guilsfield 4-0 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Porthmadog 0-1 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
| Dec 6, 2022 | Guilsfield 4-0 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Porthmadog 1-2 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
| Nov 20, 2019 | Guilsfield 2-0 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Guilsfield vs Porthmadog on Mar 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Guilsfield score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Porthmadog score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guilsfield | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Porthmadog | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guilsfield sit 8th in FAW Championship (16 points from 11 matches) and Porthmadog sit 3rd (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 23 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 16 |
A question about Guilsfield vs Porthmadog?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guilsfield vs Porthmadog?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guilsfield the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Porthmadog.
- Where and when is Guilsfield vs Porthmadog played?
- Guilsfield vs Porthmadog is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Guilsfield Community Centre Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.