Match

Niğde Belediyesispor vs Yeni Malatyaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Kampüs Stadı, Niğde

Niğde BelediyesisporYeni Malatyaspor

The Footlab model makes Niğde Belediyesispor the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Yeni Malatyaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Niğde Belediyesispor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?

Niğde Belediyesispor starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,541 vs 1,344).

Niğde Belediyesispor win65 %
Draw21 %
Yeni Malatyaspor win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niğde Belediyesispor have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Yeni Malatyaspor have 0, 2 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Niğde Belediyesispor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)2-33. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)4-23. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 202612 Bingölspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 25, 2026Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Yeni Malatyaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2025Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-02. Lig
Nov 2, 2025Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 25, 20251461 Trabzon FK(home)0-42. Lig
Oct 19, 2025Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 11, 2025Aliağa FAŞ(away)1-82. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Niğde Belediyesispor score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Niğde Belediyesispor1.61.338/158/15
Yeni Malatyaspor0.64.519/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Niğde Belediyesispor vs Yeni Malatyaspor?
The Footlab model makes Niğde Belediyesispor the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Yeni Malatyaspor.
Where and when is Niğde Belediyesispor vs Yeni Malatyaspor played?
Niğde Belediyesispor vs Yeni Malatyaspor is played on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Kampüs Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Niğde Belediyesispor and Yeni Malatyaspor

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