Match

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Osmaniyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, Malatya

Yeşilyurt BelediyesporOsmaniyespor

The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Osmaniyespor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Osmaniyespor?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,621) and Osmaniyespor (1,536).

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win63 %
Draw21 %
Osmaniyespor win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Osmaniyespor have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Çorluspor 1947(away)0-13. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)4-33. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2026Silifke Belediyespor(away)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Silifke Belediyespor(home)3-13. Lig - Play-offs
Osmaniyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)2-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 202612 Bingölspor(home)1-23. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away)1-33. Lig - Group 2
Mar 28, 2026Kapadokyaspor(home)3-33. Lig - Group 2
Mar 24, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away)2-33. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Osmaniyespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 24, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 3-2 Osmaniyespor3. Lig - Group 2
Nov 30, 2025Osmaniyespor 2-0 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 2
Feb 15, 2020Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 0-2 Osmaniyespor3. Lig - Group 3
Oct 5, 2019Osmaniyespor 3-1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Osmaniyespor on Mar 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Osmaniyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor2.11.1410/158/15
Osmaniyespor1.31.738/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Osmaniyespor?
The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Osmaniyespor.
Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Osmaniyespor played?
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Osmaniyespor is played on January 31, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor and Osmaniyespor

Ready to know everything about football?