Nissa vs CastrumFavara: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marco Tomaselli, Caltanissetta
The Footlab AI model makes Nissa the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for CastrumFavara. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nissa vs CastrumFavara?
Nissa starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,652).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nissa vs CastrumFavara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nissa
Not enough data to predict the Nissa lineup.
CastrumFavara
Not enough data to predict the CastrumFavara lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nissa have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; CastrumFavara have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Igea Virtus(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vibonese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Calcio Avola(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Trapani 1905(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Licata(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calcio Avola(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modica(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Licata(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gela(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Nissa wins, 2 draws, 0 CastrumFavara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | CastrumFavara 0-1 Nissa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Nissa 3-2 CastrumFavara | Serie D - Girone I |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Nissa 0-0 CastrumFavara | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 20, 2024 | CastrumFavara 2-2 Nissa | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: CastrumFavara vs Nissa on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nissa score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; CastrumFavara score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nissa | 2.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| CastrumFavara | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nissa sit 10th in Serie D - Girone I (8 points from 6 matches) and CastrumFavara sit 14th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nissa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | CastrumFavara | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
A question about Nissa vs CastrumFavara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nissa vs CastrumFavara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nissa the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for CastrumFavara.
- Where and when is Nissa vs CastrumFavara played?
- Nissa vs CastrumFavara is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marco Tomaselli, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.