Nizhny Novgorod vs FC UFA: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, Nizhniy Novgorod
The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for FC UFA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs FC UFA?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Nizhny Novgorod (1,833) and FC UFA (1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nizhny Novgorod have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; FC UFA have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Nizhny Novgorod win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC UFA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod 2-2 FC UFA | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 12, 2022 | FC UFA 0-0 Nizhny Novgorod | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 FC UFA | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Nizhny Novgorod vs FC UFA on Jun 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nizhny Novgorod score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC UFA score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nizhny Novgorod | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| FC UFA | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st in First League (18 points from 7 matches) and FC UFA sit 7th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 18 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nizhny Novgorod vs FC UFA?
- The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for FC UFA.
- Where and when is Nizhny Novgorod vs FC UFA played?
- Nizhny Novgorod vs FC UFA is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.