Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
The Footlab model makes Rotor Volgograd the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arsenal Tula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Rotor Volgograd (1,855) and Arsenal Tula (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rotor Volgograd have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Arsenal Tula have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-5 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rotor Volgograd win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Arsenal Tula win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arsenal Tula 2-1 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| May 4, 2026 | Arsenal Tula 2-2 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Rotor Volgograd 1-2 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Arsenal Tula 1-1 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Rotor Volgograd 0-1 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Rotor Volgograd 1-0 Arsenal Tula | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd on Aug 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rotor Volgograd score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Tula score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotor Volgograd | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Arsenal Tula | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rotor Volgograd sit 10th in First League (10 points from 7 matches) and Arsenal Tula sit 9th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula?
- The Footlab model makes Rotor Volgograd the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arsenal Tula.
- Where and when is Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula played?
- Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Volgograd Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.