NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varaždin
The Footlab model makes NK Varazdin the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for HNK Rijeka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate NK Varazdin (1,967) and HNK Rijeka (2,015).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Varazdin have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; HNK Rijeka have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 1-3 | HNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 4-1 | HNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Istra 1961(home) | 3-2 | HNL |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | NK Varazdin(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ilves(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 NK Varazdin win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 HNK Rijeka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | NK Varazdin 2-0 HNK Rijeka | HNL |
| Apr 22, 2026 | NK Varazdin 1-0 HNK Rijeka | HNL |
| Feb 14, 2026 | HNK Rijeka 3-1 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| Nov 9, 2025 | NK Varazdin 1-0 HNK Rijeka | HNL |
| Aug 24, 2025 | HNK Rijeka 1-2 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| Apr 13, 2025 | HNK Rijeka 1-0 NK Varazdin | HNL |
Last archived meeting: NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Varazdin score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Rijeka score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| HNK Rijeka | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Varazdin sit 3rd in HNL (9 points from 4 matches) and HNK Rijeka sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
- The Footlab model makes NK Varazdin the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for HNK Rijeka.
- Where and when is NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka played?
- NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.