HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ŠRC Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for HNK Gorica. The most likely score is 1-1. If HNK Hajduk Split wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
HNK Hajduk Split starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (2,012 vs 1,765).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
HNK Gorica
4-2-3-1- 50A. Erceg
- 25B. Bogojević
- 6T. Lacoux
- 66Juraj Frigan
- 8J. Pranjić
- 24D. Pavičić
- 15D. Stevanović
- 32J. Filipović
- 2F. Braut
- 5Gonçalo Costa
- 1R. Josipović
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1- 11M. Šego
- 20Alberto del Moral
- 7A. Sanyang
- 9Dali
- 23M. Šotiček
- 8K. Fayad
- 22M. Acapandié
- 6D. Hadžikadunić
- 32Š. Hrgović
- 5A. Van Hoorenbeeck
- 33T. Silić
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Gorica have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; HNK Hajduk Split have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-5 | HNL |
| Oct 24, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 0-0 | HNL |
| Oct 17, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 1-1 | HNL |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 1-2 | HNL |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 5-0 | HNL |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 2-2 | HNL |
| Oct 22, 2026 | FC Thun(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 HNK Gorica win, 0 draws, 5 HNK Hajduk Split wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split 5-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Gorica 1-2 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Apr 12, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HNK Gorica 1-0 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Oct 24, 2025 | HNK Gorica 1-3 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Aug 10, 2025 | HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
Last archived meeting: HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
HNK Gorica score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Hajduk Split score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| HNK Hajduk Split | 2.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HNK Gorica sit 10th in HNL (7 points from 12 matches) and HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 26 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 7 |
A question about HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
- The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for HNK Gorica.
- Where and when is HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split played?
- HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ŠRC Velika Gorica, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.