HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ŠRC Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
The Footlab model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for HNK Gorica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
HNK Hajduk Split starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (2,043 vs 1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Gorica have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; HNK Hajduk Split have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 1-2 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 1-3 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | NK Osijek(home) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | NK Osijek(home) | 4-0 | HNL |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Istra 1961(home) | 2-2 | HNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 HNK Gorica win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 HNK Hajduk Split win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Gorica 1-2 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Apr 12, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HNK Gorica 1-0 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Oct 24, 2025 | HNK Gorica 1-3 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Aug 10, 2025 | HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| May 11, 2025 | HNK Gorica 1-1 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
Last archived meeting: HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
HNK Gorica score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Hajduk Split score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| HNK Hajduk Split | 2.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HNK Gorica sit 10th in HNL (0 points from 4 matches) and HNK Hajduk Split sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | HNK Hajduk Split | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
- The Footlab model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for HNK Gorica.
- Where and when is HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split played?
- HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ŠRC Velika Gorica, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.