NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varaždin
The Footlab model makes NK Varazdin the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for NK Osijek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate NK Varazdin (1,967) and NK Osijek (1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Varazdin have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; NK Osijek have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 1-3 | HNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 4-1 | HNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-4 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 6-1 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 NK Varazdin win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 NK Osijek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | NK Osijek 0-2 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| Feb 8, 2026 | NK Varazdin 2-1 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Dec 3, 2025 | NK Varazdin 1-1 NK Osijek | Cup |
| Nov 2, 2025 | NK Osijek 0-0 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| Aug 17, 2025 | NK Varazdin 0-0 NK Osijek | HNL |
| May 17, 2025 | NK Varazdin 2-1 NK Osijek | HNL |
Last archived meeting: NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Varazdin score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; NK Osijek score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| NK Osijek | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Varazdin sit 3rd in HNL (9 points from 4 matches) and NK Osijek sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NK Osijek | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek?
- The Footlab model makes NK Varazdin the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for NK Osijek.
- Where and when is NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek played?
- NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.