Match

HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction and stats

HNLRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka

HNK RijekaHNK Hajduk Split

The Footlab AI model makes HNK Rijeka the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for HNK Hajduk Split. The most likely score is 1-1. If HNK Rijeka wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate HNK Rijeka (1,953) and HNK Hajduk Split (2,023).

45%28%27%
HNK Rijeka winDrawHNK Hajduk Split win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

HNK Rijeka

4-2-3-1
  1. 18D. Adu-Adjei
  1. 26Tiago Dantas
  2. 19S. Vignato
  3. 10T. Fruk
  4. 6B. Pavić
  5. 8I. Ćubelić
  1. 45A. Majstorović
  2. 22A. Oreč
  3. 51A. Husic
  4. 34M. Devetak
  1. 13I. Vekič

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
  1. 11M. Šego
  1. 20Alberto del Moral
  2. 7A. Sanyang
  3. 9Dali
  4. 23M. Šotiček
  5. 8K. Fayad
  1. 22M. Acapandié
  2. 6D. Hadžikadunić
  3. 32Š. Hrgović
  4. 5A. Van Hoorenbeeck
  1. 33T. Silić

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 04:16 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Rijeka have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; HNK Hajduk Split have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

HNK Rijeka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026NK Varazdin(home)1-1HNL
Oct 27, 2026Dinamo Zagreb(away)1-2HNL
Oct 20, 2026Karlovac 1919(away)4-1Cup
Oct 16, 2026Rudes(away)2-1HNL
Oct 11, 2026NK Slaven Belupo(away)1-4HNL
HNK Hajduk Split
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC(away)0-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 31, 2026HNK Gorica(home)5-0HNL
Oct 26, 2026Istra 1961(away)2-2HNL
Oct 22, 2026FC Thun(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 18, 2026NK Varazdin(home)1-0HNL

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 HNK Rijeka wins, 2 draws, 1 HNK Hajduk Split win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026HNK Rijeka 3-0 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
Apr 26, 2026HNK Rijeka 0-0 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
Mar 4, 2026HNK Rijeka 3-2 HNK Hajduk SplitCup
Feb 22, 2026HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 HNK RijekaHNL
Nov 22, 2025HNK Rijeka 5-0 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
Aug 31, 2025HNK Hajduk Split 2-2 HNK RijekaHNL

Last archived meeting: HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

HNK Rijeka score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Hajduk Split score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
HNK Rijeka1.91.5310/159/15
HNK Hajduk Split2.10.885/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

HNK Rijeka sit 5th in HNL (18 points from 11 matches) and HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st (26 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12822261126
5HNK Rijeka11533181518

A question about HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The Footlab AI model makes HNK Rijeka the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for HNK Hajduk Split.
Where and when is HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split played?
HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion HNK Rijeka, in the HNL.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: HNK Rijeka and HNK Hajduk Split

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