Nkwazi vs ZESCO United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Edwin Imboela Stadium, Lusaka
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 30% for Nkwazi, 35% for a draw, 35% for ZESCO United. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Nkwazi (1,531) and ZESCO United (1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nkwazi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; ZESCO United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Prison Leopards(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Man Utd Zambia Academy(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | ZESCO United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Nchanga Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 6-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Mines(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 7, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nkwazi win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 ZESCO United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Nkwazi 1-1 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | ZESCO United 0-1 Nkwazi | Super League |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Nkwazi 2-2 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Sep 18, 2024 | ZESCO United 1-1 Nkwazi | Super League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | ZESCO United 2-0 Nkwazi | Super League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Nkwazi 1-0 ZESCO United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Nkwazi vs ZESCO United on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nkwazi score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; ZESCO United score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nkwazi | 0.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| ZESCO United | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nkwazi sit 14th in Super League (37 points from 34 matches) and ZESCO United sit 10th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | ZESCO United | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 30 | 47 |
| 14 | Nkwazi | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21 | 28 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 30% for Nkwazi, 35% for a draw, 35% for ZESCO United.
- Where and when is Nkwazi vs ZESCO United played?
- Nkwazi vs ZESCO United is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Edwin Imboela Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Green EaglesvsKabwe Warriors
- Oct 31, 2026Power DynamosvsNkana
- Oct 31, 2026Red ArrowsvsChirundu Utd
- Oct 31, 2026Nchanga RangersvsMan Utd Zambia Academy
- Oct 31, 2026Kansanshi DynamosvsNAPSA Stars
- Oct 31, 2026TridentvsZanaco
- Nov 1, 2026Green BuffaloesvsMufulira Wanderers
- Nov 1, 2026Mutondo StarsvsRoan United