Mutondo Stars vs Roan United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Arthur Davies Stadium, Kitwe
The Footlab model makes Mutondo Stars the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for Roan United. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutondo Stars vs Roan United?
Mutondo Stars starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,494 vs 1,383).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutondo Stars have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Roan United have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mines(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Power Dynamos(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2014 | Konkola Blades(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Konkola Mine Police(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 26, 2014 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Oct 19, 2014 | Indeni(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2014 | National Assembly(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Roan United score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutondo Stars | 0.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Roan United | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mutondo Stars | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutondo Stars vs Roan United?
- The Footlab model makes Mutondo Stars the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for Roan United.
- Where and when is Mutondo Stars vs Roan United played?
- Mutondo Stars vs Roan United is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Arthur Davies Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Oct 31, 2026Kansanshi DynamosvsNAPSA Stars
- Oct 31, 2026TridentvsZanaco
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