Noblejas vs Villarrubia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Noblejas the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Villarrubia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Noblejas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Noblejas vs Villarrubia?
On Elo ratings, Noblejas has 1,655 points and Villarrubia 1,769.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Noblejas vs Villarrubia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Noblejas
Not enough data to predict the Noblejas lineup.
Villarrubia
Not enough data to predict the Villarrubia lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noblejas have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Villarrubia have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Guadalajara II(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | CD Villa(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torrijos(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Illescas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tarancón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CD Villa(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Torrijos(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Noblejas win, 1 draw, 0 Villarrubia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Noblejas 2-2 Villarrubia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Villarrubia 2-3 Noblejas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Noblejas vs Villarrubia on Mar 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Noblejas score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Villarrubia score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noblejas | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Villarrubia | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Noblejas sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (14 points from 9 matches) and Villarrubia sit 13th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Noblejas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Villarrubia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Noblejas vs Villarrubia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Noblejas vs Villarrubia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Noblejas the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Villarrubia.
- Where and when is Noblejas vs Villarrubia played?
- Noblejas vs Villarrubia is played on April 4, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.