Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco: result 3-2 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular SeasonKick-off on March 11, 2018 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hiiu staadion, Tallinn
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What was the result of Nõmme Kalju II vs Tartu Welco?
Nõmme Kalju II won 3-2 on March 11, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 12′F. LiblikmannTartu Welco (o.g.)
- 35′V. SinyavskiyNõmme Kalju II
- 43′A. TammNõmme Kalju II
- 90′K. KartauNõmme Kalju II
- 90′Karl Joosep MarkTartu Welco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nõmme Kalju II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tartu Welco have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | Keila(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 6, 2016 | Tartu Santos(away) | 3-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 30, 2016 | FCI Tallinn II(home) | 4-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 23, 2016 | Flora II(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 16, 2016 | K-Järve JK Järve(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | Maardu(away) | 1-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 5, 2017 | Flora II(home) | 0-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 26, 2017 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 1-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Kuressaare(away) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Rakvere Tarvas(home) | 1-4 | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Nõmme Kalju II score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 1.0 and concede 3.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme Kalju II | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 1.0 | 3.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nõmme Kalju II sit 7th in Esiliiga A (17 points from 15 matches) and Tartu Welco sit 1st (38 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
| 7 | Nõmme Kalju II | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 17 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 67 | 19 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy