Nõmme United vs Tartu Welco: result 5-2 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 18, 2025 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Männiku staadion, Tallinn
Full time
What was the result of Nõmme United vs Tartu Welco?
Nõmme United won 5-2 on September 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′E. OunapuuNõmme United
- 10′Z. BeglarishviliNõmme United
- 15′M. PaltsNõmme United
- 18′A. TruuvaartNõmme United
- 24′538813Tartu Welco
- 55′E. OunapuuNõmme United
- 70′M. MagiTartu Welco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nõmme United have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Tartu Welco have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Elva(away) | 4-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | FC Tallinn(home) | 6-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Joker(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Luunja(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Flora II(home) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Kristiine JK(home) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 23, 2025 | FC Tallinn(away) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Viimsi(away) | 2-3 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nõmme United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tartu Welco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2025 | Tartu Welco 1-3 Nõmme United | Esiliiga A |
| May 15, 2025 | Tartu Welco 1-1 Nõmme United | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Nõmme United 0-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Tartu Welco 2-3 Nõmme United | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 29, 2021 | Tartu Welco 0-4 Nõmme United | Esiliiga A |
| May 9, 2021 | Nõmme United 4-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United on Jul 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nõmme United score 4.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 2.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme United | 4.0 | 0.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 2.4 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy