Nordlingen vs Fortuna Regensburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Gerd-Müller-Stadion, Nördlingen
The Footlab model makes Nordlingen the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Regensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordlingen vs Fortuna Regensburg?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Nordlingen (1,713) and Fortuna Regensburg (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordlingen have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Fortuna Regensburg have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Würzburger FV(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Nordlingen score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Regensburg score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordlingen | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Fortuna Regensburg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fortuna Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 66 | 58 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordlingen vs Fortuna Regensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Nordlingen the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Fortuna Regensburg.
- Where and when is Nordlingen vs Fortuna Regensburg played?
- Nordlingen vs Fortuna Regensburg is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Gerd-Müller-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.