Cham vs ASV Neumarkt: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 16Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kappenberger Sportzentrum, Cham
The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for ASV Neumarkt. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cham vs ASV Neumarkt?
Cham starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cham have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; ASV Neumarkt have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gebenbach(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stadeln(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stadeln(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Weiden(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cham win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 ASV Neumarkt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Cham 2-0 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 3, 2025 | ASV Neumarkt 1-0 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Cham 3-1 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 10, 2024 | ASV Neumarkt 2-1 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 27, 2024 | ASV Neumarkt 2-1 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Cham 1-1 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Cham score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; ASV Neumarkt score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cham | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| ASV Neumarkt | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cham sit 2nd in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (62 points from 33 matches) and ASV Neumarkt sit 3rd (59 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cham | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 62 |
| 3 | ASV Neumarkt | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 68 | 50 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cham vs ASV Neumarkt?
- The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for ASV Neumarkt.
- Where and when is Cham vs ASV Neumarkt played?
- Cham vs ASV Neumarkt is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kappenberger Sportzentrum, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026DJK BambergvsAmmerthal
- Oct 23, 2026NeudrossenfeldvsBayern Hof
- Oct 23, 2026Viktoria AschaffenburgvsGebenbach
- Oct 24, 2026Eintracht BambergvsKornburg
- Oct 24, 2026Ingolstadt IIvsWeiden
- Oct 24, 2026Würzburger FVvsStadeln
- Oct 24, 2026NordlingenvsFortuna Regensburg
- Oct 24, 2026GroßbardorfvsJahn Regensburg II