Noroeste vs Comercial: result 4-3 and analysis
Copa PaulistaGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Noroeste vs Comercial?
Noroeste won 4-3 on August 22, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 6′?Comercial
- 16′?Noroeste
- 49′?Comercial
- 55′?Noroeste
- 66′?Noroeste
- 81′?Noroeste
- 90′?Comercial
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Comercial have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | União São João(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 9, 2026 | XV de Piracicaba(home) | 2-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 1, 2026 | XV de Piracicaba(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 25, 2026 | União São João(home) | 2-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Comercial(away) | 0-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | XV de Piracicaba(home) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 8, 2026 | União São João(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 31, 2026 | União São João(home) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 25, 2026 | XV de Piracicaba(away) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Noroeste(home) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Noroeste win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Comercial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Comercial 2-0 Noroeste | Copa Paulista |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Noroeste 1-1 Comercial | Paulista - A2 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Noroeste 3-0 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Comercial 1-3 Noroeste | Copa Paulista |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Comercial 0-2 Noroeste | Paulista - A2 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Noroeste 1-0 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
Last archived meeting: Comercial vs Noroeste on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Comercial | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy