Noroeste vs Comercial: result 2-1 and analysis
Paulista - A3FinalsKick-off on May 14, 2022 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Noroeste vs Comercial?
Noroeste won 2-1 on May 14, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 8′GustavoComercial
- 32′Diogo PereiraNoroeste
- 76′ThiagoNoroeste
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noroeste have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Comercial have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | EC São Bernardo(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 30, 2022 | EC São Bernardo(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Capivariano(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 20, 2022 | EC São Bernardo(away) | 2-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Marília(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | Votuporanguense(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| May 1, 2022 | Votuporanguense(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 23, 2022 | USAC(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Votuporanguense(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 16, 2022 | São José EC(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Noroeste win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Comercial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | Noroeste 2-1 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Comercial 0-2 Noroeste | Paulista - A3 |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Noroeste 2-3 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: Noroeste vs Comercial on Feb 12, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Noroeste score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 1.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noroeste | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Comercial | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Comercial | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy