Northern City vs Berekum City: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Jinapor Stadium, Jinapor
The Footlab model makes Northern City the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Berekum City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Northern City vs Berekum City?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Northern City (1,471) and Berekum City (1,495).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northern City have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Berekum City have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Tamale City(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Tamale(away) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sankara Nationals(home) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bolga AllStars(away) | 3-3 | Division One League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Yapei(home) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | Bofoakwe Tano(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Techiman Liberty(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Northern City score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Berekum City score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern City | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Berekum City | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Northern City vs Berekum City?
- The Footlab model makes Northern City the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Berekum City.
- Where and when is Northern City vs Berekum City played?
- Northern City vs Berekum City is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Jinapor Stadium, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.