Northern Ireland vs Estonia: result 2-0 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 1Kick-off on March 21, 2019 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Windsor Park, Belfast
Full time
What was the result of Northern Ireland vs Estonia?
Northern Ireland won 2-0 on March 21, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 56′N. McGinnNorthern Ireland
- 75′S. DavisNorthern Ireland (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northern Ireland have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Estonia have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2018 | Austria(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 15, 2018 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2018 | Austria(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Israel(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2018 | Greece(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Hungary(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2018 | Hungary(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2018 | Finland(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Finland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Northern Ireland score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estonia score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Estonia | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy