Croatia vs Azerbaijan: result 2-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 1Kick-off on March 21, 2019 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
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What was the result of Croatia vs Azerbaijan?
Croatia won 2-1 on March 21, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 19′R. ŞeydayevAzerbaijan
- 44′B. BarišićCroatia
- 79′A. KramarićCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Azerbaijan have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2018 | England(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Spain(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2018 | Jordan(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2018 | England(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Spain(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2018 | Kosovo(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Faroe Islands(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Malta(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2018 | Faroe Islands(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 10, 2018 | Malta(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Azerbaijan score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Azerbaijan | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy