Northern Ireland vs San Marino: result 4-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Europe1st Round - 2Kick-off on October 8, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Windsor Park, Belfast
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What was the result of Northern Ireland vs San Marino?
Northern Ireland won 4-0 on October 8, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 26′S. DavisNorthern Ireland (pen.)
- 79′K. LaffertyNorthern Ireland
- 85′Jamie John WardNorthern Ireland
- 90′K. LaffertyNorthern Ireland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Northern Ireland have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; San Marino have 0, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2016 | Czechia(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Wales(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 21, 2016 | Germany(home) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2016 | Ukraine(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Poland(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2016 | Azerbaijan(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Northern Ireland score 0.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 5; San Marino score 0.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2 | 0/5 | 0/5 |
| San Marino | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northern Ireland sit 3rd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (9 points from 6 matches) and San Marino sit 5th (0 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | San Marino | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy