Northwich Victoria vs Newport County: result 2-3 and analysis
FA Trophy4th RoundKick-off on February 25, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)U-Lock It Stadium, Northwich, Cheshire
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What was the result of Northwich Victoria vs Newport County?
Newport County won 2-3 on February 25, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 36′Ian KearneyNorthwich Victoria
- 47′Ryan WadeNorthwich Victoria
- 59′Jake HarrisNewport County
- 84′Jake HarrisNewport County
- 89′N. JarvisNewport County
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Northwich Victoria have 7 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Newport County have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Staines Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 28, 2011 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 5-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2012 | Tamworth(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Feb 18, 2012 | Mansfield Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Feb 14, 2012 | Bath City(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Feb 11, 2012 | Stockport County(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Feb 7, 2012 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 4-0 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Northwich Victoria score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 9; Newport County score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwich Victoria | 2.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 6/9 | 6/9 |
| Newport County | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy