Match

Nottingham Forest U21 vs Manchester United U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire

Nottingham Forest U21Manchester United U21

The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Nottingham Forest U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nottingham Forest U21 vs Manchester United U21?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Nottingham Forest U21 (1,827) and Manchester United U21 (1,924).

Nottingham Forest U21 win28 %
Draw24 %
Manchester United U21 win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest U21 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Manchester United U21 have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nottingham Forest U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Sunderland U21(away)1-5Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Gateshead(away)1-1National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Luton Town U21(home)2-0Premier League Cup
May 11, 2026Norwich City U21(home)1-2Professional Development League
May 4, 2026Peterborough United U21(away)1-0Professional Development League
Manchester United U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)5-0Premier League 2 Division One
Jul 31, 2026Altrincham(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Brighton U21(away)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
May 8, 2026Manchester City U21(away)4-3Premier League 2 Division One
May 4, 2026Crystal Palace U21(away)2-0Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Nottingham Forest U21 win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Manchester United U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 7, 2025Manchester United U21 3-3 Nottingham Forest U21Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 26, 2024Nottingham Forest U21 0-0 Manchester United U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Manchester United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 on Apr 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nottingham Forest U21 score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nottingham Forest U211.31.757/159/15
Manchester United U211.91.439/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nottingham Forest U21 sit 29th in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Manchester United U21 sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Manchester United U211100503
29Nottingham Forest U211001150

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Manchester United U21?
The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Nottingham Forest U21.
Where and when is Nottingham Forest U21 vs Manchester United U21 played?
Nottingham Forest U21 vs Manchester United U21 is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nottingham Forest U21 and Manchester United U21

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