Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: result 0-4 and analysis
League Cup3rd RoundKick-off on September 20, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Full time
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Arsenal won 0-4 on September 20, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 23′G. XhakaArsenal
- 60′Lucas PérezArsenal (pen.)
- 71′Lucas PérezArsenal
- 90′A. Oxlade-ChamberlainArsenal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Arsenal have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2016 | Norwich(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2016 | Rotherham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Leeds(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2016 | Millwall(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2016 | Hull City(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2016 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Watford(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Leicester(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Arsenal | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy