Hull City vs Nottingham Forest: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)The MKM Stadium, Hull
The Footlab AI model makes Nottingham Forest the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nottingham Forest wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hull City vs Nottingham Forest?
Nottingham Forest starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (2,150 vs 1,992).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hull City vs Nottingham Forest
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 25M. Crooks
- 7S. Thomas
- 10M. Belloumi
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 15J. Egan
- 22L. Herrington
- 3R. Giles
- 19K. Tzolakis
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1- 19L. Delap
- 3N. Williams
- 14D. Ndoye
- 21X. Schlager
- 24J. McAtee
- 27D. Muñoz
- 10M. Gibbs-White
- 5Murillo
- 2O. Diomande
- 23Jair
- 26M. Sels
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hull City have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hull City win, 1 draw, 4 Nottingham Forest wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | Hull City 1-1 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Nottingham Forest 2-1 Hull City | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Hull City 0-2 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2019 | Nottingham Forest 1-2 Hull City | Championship |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Nottingham Forest 3-0 Hull City | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Hull City 0-2 Nottingham Forest | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Hull City vs Nottingham Forest on May 7, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Hull City score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Nottingham Forest | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hull City sit 9th in Premier League (9 points from 7 matches) and Nottingham Forest sit 18th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Hull City vs Nottingham Forest?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Nottingham Forest?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nottingham Forest the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Hull City vs Nottingham Forest played?
- Hull City vs Nottingham Forest is played on December 2, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at The MKM Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.